Wednesday, November 26, 2008
All-Star Voting
I just finished poking holes in about 30 more All-Star ballots and I feel the need to comment on a major flaw in the voting process. There, listed on the ballot was Stephon Marbury. The same Stephon Marbury who has not played a single minute this year. I know the NBA lets fans pretty much choose the All-Star game starters like a popularity contest, but shouldn’t the players fans can choose from be ones who’ve actually played? C’mon!
Also, there is only room for one write-in vote per conference, so I couldn’t write in both Joel Przyabilla and Steve Blake, even they both are putting up pretty elite numbers this year. The only 3 Blazers available are Greg Oden, Brandon Roy, and LaMarcus Aldridge (needless to say I voted for them each time).
The saving grace to the NBA All-Star selection process is that once the starters are chosen by the fans, coaches get to vote in the remainder of the players. That helps get the players who deserve it into the game. That’s how Brandon Roy got in last year and probably how he’ll get in this year too.
So, just FYI, here are my picks:
West
C – Greg Oden (I know he hasn’t earned it but since Joel wasn’t on the ballot…)
F – LaMarcus Aldridge
F – Tim Duncan / Amare Stoudemire (I split my other forward votes between them)
G – Brandon Roy
G – Chris Paul
East
C – Dwight Howard
F – LeBron James
F – Kevin Garnet / Chris Bosh (I split my other forward votes between them)
G – Dwayne Wade
G – Devin Harris / Mo Williams / Joe Johnson / Ray Allen (Lots of choices and none very clear cut except for Dwayne, so I pretty much chose a few of my favorites.
Monday, November 24, 2008
Thunder!!

Firstly, know that I am a big fan of logos and color schemes. Team image is one of the many influences that impacts the fan experience and I am a very visual-minded person. The larger piece of team image, of course, is personnel, because no matter how cool you look, if your team is full of losers then the experience will be forgettable. But say you’ve done your job with that… teams are known visually by their logo and color schemes. It gives them their unique look.
The Sonics had the chance, when they moved to Oklahoma City, to change their look. They chose the name Thunder, and I am OK with that. The logo they chose is pretty weak though, in my opinion. But where I have a problem is-- when they went to choose a color scheme they went with light blue. I say again… light blue. Light blue and orange just doesn’t convey Thunder to me. When I think thunder, I conjure up images of dark and ominous clouds, maybe some steaks of lightning or some hail… the sky reverberating with loud crashes that shake the bowels of men. NOT light blue.
But this is not the only reason why light blue is a terrible color choice. How many teams already have blue in their color scheme? Let’s count them, shall we?!
1. Utah Jazz
2. Denver Nuggets
3. Memphis Grizzlies
4. New Orleans Hornets
5. Orlando Magic
6. Dallas Mavericks
7. Minnesota Timberwolves
8. Detroit Pistons
9. Washington Wizards
10. New Jersey Nets
11. LA Clippers
12. Golden State Warriors
13. Charlotte Bobcats
14. Atlanta Hawks
15. New York Knicks
Exactly one half of the teams in the NBA… already. And 8 or 9 of those are not just blue, but light blue. So the creative geniuses in Oklahoma City chose what color? Did they poll a group of sixth graders for input? I can picture the owner’s wife saying, “Gee, most teams already have light blue… light blue must be the latest shade in Basketball… so let’s go with… light blue!” Way to be original.
Next chance they get (read All-Star break) they should change it to black and purple, with white lightning bolts for trim… something like that. Something thunder-ish. Just not light blue!!! The whole idea makes me long for Sonic green and yellow.
Blazer Update 11-24-08
The Blazers are sitting at 8-6. Very nice. They are off to a much better start than most predicted, including myself. The best news… they are giving it their all and it translates: fun to watch!
A few things to note about the team so far:
Point Guard Play
Blake and Rodriguez are running the point extremely efficiently – The Blazers are one of the best teams so far in the Assist to Turnover ratio. Blake is 10th in the league for players with more than 200 minutes. Also, for players who’ve played more than 200 minutes this year, Sergio’s assist rate (per minute played) is 2nd in the league – Chris Paul is 1st. That’s pretty lofty status. I was pretty quick to dismiss Sergio when he said he wanted to be traded, but I see now that he is good for us. Steve Blake has scored more than 20 points in the last 2 games… he’s on a roll. One of the coolest pictures I’ve ever seen was in the Oregonian the other day – Steve Blake leaning over with blood literally pouring off of his scalp after a collision with a camera. It proved that he is a modern-day warrior.
3 Point Shooting
We are also off to a great start from outside. Even though we lost James Jones and Martell is hurt, we are tops in the league at shooting 3s. Here are some stats (3s per game/ percentage):
Travis Outlaw: 3 @ 51%
Rudy Fernandez: 6 @ 42%
Steve Blake: 5 @ 45%
Nicolas Batum: 2 @ 41%
Brandon Roy: 3 @ 37%
Sergio Rodriguez: 3 @35%
Anything better than 35% is = to shooting 2s at 50%. So we are doing great so far!
Center
Joel Pryzabilla and Greg Oden are tearing it up in the middle. Greg is way up there in blocks per minute… tied with Andrew Bynum and Brian Skinner for 4th in the League (only Ronny Turiaf, Dwight Howard, and Marcus Camby are better). Joel is shooting three 2-pointers per game @ 83%... the best in the league for players over 200 minutes (the next best is Nene with 65%). Seeing how we dominate the middle makes it easier to understand why we are able to be so open for 3-pointers.
EspaƱoles Asombrosos
Otherwise known as Amazing Spaniards. Rudy is flat out fun to watch. Even if he is missing his 3s like he did Saturday against the Suns, he still is like watching a lightning bolt zip around the court. He and Sergio connect on some sweet alley-oops that make your eyes pop out. I knew they kept Sergio around to help Rudy in his transition to the NBA, and the connection they hoped for is realized. They each steal the ball very well, tying for the lead on the Blazers in Steals per minute. Rudy has a real knack for playing the game and is much better defensively than expected.
Defense
While we are doing great as far as blocking shots, rebounding, and stealing, we are letting way too many opposing players get easy baskets. Way too many lay-ins and fast-break points allowed so far. If we can shore up our transition defense and stay with our man we’d be a better defensive team. One problem with being an unselfish team like we are is that sometimes we are too eager to help out and, in doing so, leave an opponent wide open. There are certain players, like Mike Miller of the Timberwolves, who you NEVER want to leave. The minute you do you can count it as three points against you. Travis Outlaw is a bit suspect in this area, he is getting better at stealing and rebounding but still looks a half-step too slow in getting back to his man. Sergio does the same thing sometimes. He’ll go for the steal and leave his man open for the three. Granted, he gets a lot of steals that way but still… part of it is knowing who you should gamble against. NOT Steve Nash.
I have a lot more to talk about since this is the first chance I’ve had to post in a while, but I am out of time for now. Go Blazers!
PS. Get to go to 2 games this week! Tonight with Grady and Austin (vs. Kings) and Wednesday night with Brad (vs. the Heat). Should be fun!!!
Saturday, October 4, 2008
Blazer Scrimmage
Getting up close and personal with the giants is something to behold, but the real excitement came during the scrimmage. Oden looked good, he's so huge compared to everyone else on the court. He is still not quite in NBA shape but had a few moments where you could tell he is going to be a great player, probably sooner rather than later. I give him until 2010 until he's an All-Star.
The real eye-opener for me was Rudy Fernandez. He zipped some amazing passes to several players, one was a complete wrap-around the back pass to that made everyone do a double take... was it real??? Oh yes! It was REAL! He also has a great-looking 3 point shot that has a cool looking back spin on it and seems to be going 100MPH. But it doesn't just look good, it's also very accurate. If Manual Ginobli doesn't return from his injury to his old form, my bet is for Rudy Fernandez to make 6th man of the year. He is smart on the court, deceptively quick, isn't afraid to take it to the hoop, shoots well from deep, doesn't seem to be a terrible defender, and passes waaaay better than I expected.
Of the 4 players vying for the last roster spot - Steven Hill, Luke Jackson, Tatum, and Shavlik Randolph - Luke Jackson showed he could play last night. He had a couple great moves to the basket, got teammates involved, rebounded, and defended surprisingly well. Tatum was quick and hit a nice 3-pointer. Hill and Randolph were OK but didn't stand out. Too bad we're so deep at the 3 or I'd say we should keep Luke Jackson. He should definitely be on somebodies team this.
LaMarcus Aldridge absolutely went off last night. He scored 25 and made it look easy. His 12-15 foot jumper is automatic. Like Austin pointed out, he shoots it Rasheed Wallace-ish, letting it go at the apex of his reach. He also looked good down low, something I think will become a common theme this year, as he benefits from other teams trying to stop Oden from getting too deep on the block and forgetting about Aldridge.
Brandon Roy was back in form and had one really great circus shot where he flipped toward the basket after he was fouled and somehow it made it in... he seems to get at least one of those per game.
Outlaw had a few good shots and looked active around the basket. Przyabilla was his usual self, scrapping for position and rebounds and even dunking one off a pick and roll.
Martell started out slow but then got in the swing of things in the 2nd half. He had a great follow-up dunk and hit a couple nice outside shots. Brad thinks he is the odd man out and will be gone before next year. I think he's a solid player and I like him, he got much better at rebounding last year and I think he'd be fine coming off the bench to back up Outlaw. His ability play the 2-guard gives him more value too.
Brad also thinks Jerryd Bayless is another Jarret Jack; a cocky point guard who has a shooting guard mentality. I agree with Brad on those points but I think he's much better in a few different aspects: his speed is much better, he is more decisive, and he is less prone to make the same kind of bumbling mistakes Jack made famous. How many times did Jack step on the out-of-bounds line? How many times did he lose control of the ball mid-move because he couldn't decide if he should pass, shoot, or drive? I think Jerryd will make plenty of mistakes and certainly needs to involve his teammates more often, but I think he has the capacity and determination to improve and become a solid NBA point guard one day. Maybe backing up Blake for a year will teach him to think pass first.
Ike Diogu was unimpressive until late in the game when he had a nice rebound and put-back. I was hoping to see more rebounding out of him, but now I just want Channing Frye to hurry back from his injury.
Overall, I left with mucho energy and excitement for this season - we're going to be good AND fun to watch!
Friday, September 19, 2008
Aaron's NFL Post-Season predictions
NY Giants over Phil
Seattle over Carolina
NFC Division Playoffs:
New Orleans over NYG
Seattle over Minnesota
NFC Championship:
New Orleans over Seattle
AFC Wildcard:
Indianapolis over Jacksonville
Buffalo over Pittsburgh
AFC Division Playoffs:
New England over Indianapolis
S.D. over Buffalo
AFC Championship:
San Diego over N.E.
Super Bowl:
San Diego over New Orleans
Brad's NFL Post-Season Predictions
Giants over Vikings
Panthers over Eagles
NFC Division Playoffs:
Panthers over Seahawks
Cowboys over Giants
NFC Conference Finals:
Cowboys over Panthers
AFC Wild Card:
Colts over Steelers
Patriots over Jets
AFC Division Playoffs:
Jaguars over Patriots
Colts over Chargers
AFC Conference final:
Jaguars over Colts
Super Bowl:
Jaguars over Cowboys
Monday, September 15, 2008
WaxFL
Saturday, September 13, 2008
Blazers - Hill or Jackson?
Pros/cons for Luke Jackson:
Luke is a great outside threat. We don't have anyone on our team that can match his consistency from deep. His back injuries haven't allowed him to show off his shot in the NBA yet but he is healthier than ever and ready to prove himself. We could really a guy to replace James Jones as in the way he opened up the middle by drawing players deeper out on the perimeter. Luke could do that for us. He is Oregon-raised and it'd be great to have an Oregon Duck on the team. But Luke is not that great on defense and who knows when his back will flare up again?
Pros/cons for Steven Hill:
Steven is a blue-collar Center from Arkansas (and grew up in Branson, Missouri, about 1/2 hour from where my parents live). He was a nice surprise during the summer league and proved he can block shots with vigor and rebound well too. He isn't afraid to grind and muscle his way to get position against his opponent. Word is that he's been blocking Greg Oden's shots during recent practices. I see him as Joel Przybilla Jr. I like that because Joel is one of my favorite players due to his work ethic and toughness. But, much like Joel, Steven is limited on offense. He'll be able to get a few put-back rebounds but that's about it.
If we choose Luke we'll be able to get some instant offense off the bench, open the floor for the big men to do their work, and further infuse the Oregon fan base with Blazer-mania.
If we choose Steven we'll be adding a 7-footer who can stop opponents on the block and make lane drivers nervous. The fans that appreciate the hustle of Jerome Kersey will love Steven Hill.
They're both young players with great potential. What this really boils down to is roster need. As recent as last week I was leaning toward Luke, but with the up-coming shoulder surgery of Raef LaFrentz (not to mention Channing Frye's ankle surgery), I think we should keep Steven Hill. He'll give us a third big man behind Oden & Przybilla which will be handy when they both get in foul trouble. We have plenty scorers on this team - I think we'll be able to get offense without Luke. If we don't sign him then Nick Batum will get the scrub time at Small Forward and allow him to develop faster (although I still think it was a mistake to sign him... Luke Jackson would be so much better!!). We will need the size and fouls of Steven Hill more.
My vote: Steven Hill.
The Waxenfelter League
Win = 10 Points
Shutout = 5 Points
Score 30+ = 3 Points
Score 40+ = 4 Points
Wild Card Win = 20 Points
Quarter Finals Win = 40 Points
Conference Finals Win = 60 Points
Super Bowl Win = 80 Points
Our first round is auto-selected with our favorite team and the loser from the previous year gets to start the picks in the 2nd round. This simple fantasy set-up makes for a fun NFL season and since we don't have prizes for the winner we don't get overly down if our teams lose.
Last night we got together for some unique Estacada cowboy food (have you ever tried beer- battered fried avocado?) and made our picks for the 2008 season. Here they are:
Grady:
Seahawks
Packers
Rams
Patriots
Jets
Bengals
Chiefs
Redskins
Royce:
Vikings
Chargers
Eagles
Cowboys
Browns
Titans
Falcons
Lions
Aaron:
Bills
Steelers
Saints
Panthers
Bears
Texans
Buccaneers
Dolphins
Austin:
Colts
Giants
Jaguars
Broncos
Cardinals
Raiders
Ravens
49ers
Since we missed the 1st week we'll start the scoring in the 2nd week. I'll be posting the scores on this website.
Monday, September 8, 2008
updated NFL Playoff Predictions
Here are my revised predictions:
AFC Wild Card Round:
Bills over Patriots
Steelers over Colts
NFC Wild Card Round:
Saints over Seahawks
Cowboys over Vikings
AFC Divisional Playoffs:
Chargers over Steelers
Bills over Jaguars
NFC Divisional Playoffs:
Panthers over Cowboys
Eagles over Saints
Conference Championships:
Eagles over Panthers
Chargers over Bills
Super Bowl:
Chargers over Eagles
By the way, I some people (who will remain nameless) are thinking that the Jets are going to make the playoffs this year with Favre at the helm. I should remind them that they beat the Dolphins yesterday... The Dolphins. Don't get me wrong here. I like Brett just as much as the average American, but the Jets are still the Jets. They play in the same division as the Patriots and the Bills. They can get another win against the Dolphins and get lucky a couple more times, but in the end the Jets will win 4 more games this season, leaving bandwagon fans everywhere looking for another hero to root for.